Monthly Note – February 2024

A public service announcement up front:  This is the Chip Risk Monitor’s latest monthly installment, brought to you by Horizon Advisory’s team of supply chain and geopolitical intelligence analysts. The goal with the Chip Risk Monitor is to highlight the hidden risks buried in semiconductor dependencies on China and to move from awareness of those risks to…

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Tencent and the RISC-V Risk

Overview China’s interest in RISC-V technology has recently caught global attention with compelling reporting from Reuters and The New York Times as well as in-depth analysis from the Jamestown Foundation. The role of China’s “Big Tech” in Beijing’s RISC-V approach is an interesting – and revealing – feature of how China approaches opportunities in global…

Monthly Note – December 2023

The revamped October 7 semiconductor-focused export restrictions have had a couple months to fester – and will soon be over their Federal Register comment period. The new and improved measures aim to tighten US control over cutting-edge features of the semiconductor supply chain by adjusting chip thresholds covered by the restrictions, expanding the scope of…

Policy Recommendations that Emerge from the Chip Risk Monitor

The risk environment presented by China’s semiconductor champions and their global market presence demands new and expanded lines of both offense and defense from the US government and industry. A winning – and threat informed – strategy would feature: Private sector-led investment in critical industry chains, with the US government imposing costson those who do…

Global Profile

PRC industrial policy prioritizes the virtue of market share – even at the expense of optimizing for profit and technological progress as Western economic orthodoxy might dictate for firm behavior. Profit and technological progress do not necessarily register as metrics of success within the PRC industrial policy rubric; more so as inputs for accruing outsize…

Monthly Note – September 2023

China’s semiconductor champions pose a variety of risks to the security and prosperity of the United States. Intensified geopolitical competition around the supply chains that bring microelectronics to the market have brought new political, economic, regulatory, and compliance challenges for an integrated, global ecosystem. Horizon Advisory’s Chip Risk Monitor is a recurring source of risk…

Launching Targeting the Core’s Chip Risk Monitor

China’s semiconductor champions pose a variety of risks to the United States. We can’t continue to overlook them. Yes, the U.S. government has taken action – putting companies on the Entity List, targeting them with export controls, et cetera. But it’s not enough. China’s semiconductor champions find loopholes. They reinvent themselves. And new champions emerge….

Testimony for House Select Committee on the CCP Hearing on Commanding Heights 

We submitted written testimony to the House Select Committee on the CCP for its July 26th hearing on “Commanding Heights: Ensuring U.S. Leadership in the Critical and Emerging Technologies of the 21st Century.” The full text may be found here, and the executive summary is below. The United States is in the throes of a…

Project 506: CXMT and China’s Semiconductor Industrial Policy

Changxin Memory Technoloiges Inc. (CSMT, also translated as Changxin Storage Technologies Inc., is a critical node within the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) semiconductor industrial project. CXMT serves both a key technological role in China’s quest for semiconductor security and an important organizational role in guaranteeing coordination throughout the broader Chinese microelectronic ecosystem. CXMT’s founding and…

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